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RT&A_SI 2023, # 5(75) Vol.18
About This Issue
This special issue of the journal “Reliability: Theory and Applications” contains quality articles on innovative approaches to risk minimization. We would like to express our gratitude to all the participants of the RISK-2023 Conference for the submitted articles and the reviewers for their effective work in evaluating the submitted materials. We sincerely appreciate their excellent timely responses. The invited editors are also very grateful to the secretary, Doctor of Sci., Alexander Bochkov, for his constant support and constructiveness in the process of reviewing and drafting the proposal of the special issue. We hope that this special issue will make a significant contribution to improving the scientific field of assessment, analysis and management of natural and man-made risks.
Ural
Federal University, Russia
CEO &
Founder
RANDOMNESS, UNCERTAINTY, INCOMPLETENESS, RISK AND ITS MEASUREMENTS
Vladimir Rykov, Boyan Dimitrov, Alexander Bochkov, Elvira Zaripova, Olga Kochueva
In this work we analyze different aspects regarding the terminology, understanding concepts and approaches in modeling and measuring components and variables related to safety and risk. This discussion conversation is open for further interpretations and suggestions. We study it with the help of models (images) artificial, descriptions, scientific approaches, discussions, etc., and using the help of poly-semantic languages. Various kinds of risks arise precisely because of the uncertainty of the situation. Mathematical models use uncertainties in sever- al ways: randomness, which is explained and measured by objective probability and estimated using statistical methods. Uncertainty, measured by subjective probabilities, is estimated by expert methods, or by fuzzy uncertainty methods. Each of these approaches has its advantages and disadvantages. Despite the difference in approaches to measuring uncertainties, the development of a risk situation are described in an appropriate way using an event tree. We show the construction of an event tree, that allows us to see details and specify in the development of a risk situation. We also discuss how this approach can be used to evaluate the sensitivity of the output characteristics of the process to the parameters of the initial information.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-31-43
REFLECTIONS ON DUAL NATURE OF RISK. TOWARD A FORMALISM
Alexander Bochkov
We seem to know almost everything about risk and, at the same time, nothing. By focusing on the etymology of the word "risk", researchers have neglected its nature, causes and characteristics. At the same time, risk manifests itself differently in different situations and can be both a characteristic of a random event and a characteristic and measure of the quality of a process carried out over time. In the latter case, risk is inherent in the properties of a wave process, which requires the search for measures other than probabilistic ones to measure and assess it. This paper attempts to summaries the most characteristic different manifestations of risk and to propose a way of assessing risk that takes account of these differences. The paper can be seen as an invitation to debate the nature of risk and how its formalism should be constructed.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-44-74
RELIABILITY BASED DESIGN OF CIVIL AND INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING STRUCTURES USING THE LIFE QUALITY INDEX CRITERION
Anna Bushinskaya, Sviatoslav Timashev
The paper considers and analyses the current world practice of assigning acceptable values for the probability of failure of civil and industrial engineering structures based on monetary optimization using the life quality index. The analysis is illustrated by calculating the approximate target values of the threshold probability of failure for multi-storey residential buildings in the Sverdlovsk region of the Russian Federation using the LQI criterion and the social willingness to pay concept assessment of the effectiveness of the costs of safety measures.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-75-88
MULTIFACTORIAL EMERGENCY FORECASTING METHODS
Vugar Aliyev, Zurab Gasitashvili, Merab Pkhovelishvili, Natela Archvadze, Lia Shetsiruli
Recently, great tragedies have occurred, which are caused by the coincidence of various factors in time and in locations. Failure to take into account the fact that different events will coincide in time and location is an error in the forecasting method, since such situations require the use of parallel data, which we will discuss here. The article gives a specific example of the coincidence of 5 natural geological and hydrometeorological events and shows how a natural disaster could have been avoided using a new forecasting method.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-89-95
Aleksandr Fremd, Arailim Gaipova, Dinara Talgarbaeva
Lineament analysis of space images can be successfully used for the purposes of formalized analysis and development of maps of geodynamic zoning with the ranking of the study area into areas that differ in the degree of relative geodynamic activity. As calculated indicators of geodynamic (neotectonic) activity, the density of faults, megacracks and other lineaments, expressed by their total length per unit area, was used. Therefore, the parameter "density of strokes" is taken as the basis for the taxonomic division of the study area into regions according to the degree of tectonic disturbance of the earth's crust. All constructions are implement- ed on the basis of lineament analysis included in the CATALIST software package (Canada) On the example of two seismically hazardous regions of the Northern Tien Shan (Almaty and Zhambyl), the distribution features and properties of lineament density parameters are illustrated, followed by the construction of maps of geodynamic activity.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-96-110
TERRITORIAL RISKS ASSESSMENT OF NATURAL HAZARDS
Ulyana Postnikova, Olga Taseiko, Maksim Anikin
The presence of an unstructured data array predetermines the need to create an interconnected system of risk factors. The purpose of the study is to analyze the vulnerability of the Krasnoyarsk region territories to hazardous natural phenomena. This paper analyzes floods and forest fires, which are the most typical natural hazards for the areas under consideration. To identify areas most prone to natural hazards, a ranking was carried out according to the level of risk using GIS technologies.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-111-117
THE KURA ACTIVE FAULT – POTENTIAL SOURCE OF SIGNIFICANT HAZARD
Alexander Strom
An active fault stretching for more than 100 km along the Kura River between the tailing part of the Mingeçevir Reservoir in the east and the Azerbaijan-Georgia border in the west – the so-called Kura fault – is described in brief based on the analysis of space images. This active reverse fault with distinct evidence of Late Quaternary movements crosses the waterfronts of the Shamkir and the Enikend reservoirs.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-118-124
MANAGING THE RISK OF EMERGENCIES CAUSED BY GROUNDWATER FLOODING OF THE HISTORICAL BUILT-UP AREAS
Elena Arefyeva
The article presents an approach to managing the risk of groundwater flooding emergencies, including those in historical built-up areas. The approach is based on the application of a set of methods, including the method of forecasting, the method of developing an optimal control action, and developing a compromise solution. The peculiarity of historical built-up areas is that there is a significant cultural layer that does not allow drainage, because watered soil preserves the cultural layer. At the same time, architectural monuments need to drain the foundations and not water the soils of the foundations of structures.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-125-135
PERSPECTIVE OF USING GROUNDWATER IN THE GANIKH-AYRICHAY FOOTHILLS
Esmira Mustafayeva, Allahverdi Tagiyev
Most of the qualitative groundwater resources of Azerbaijan are concentrated in the Ganikh- Ayrichay foothills. As a result of research conducted in this area, it was revealed that the Ganikh-Ayrichay foothills has great prospects for water supply in Baku. According to earlier hydrogeological studies in Ganikh-Ayrichay foothills, widespread sources on the plains are associated with rocks of the fourth period, with gravel and various old rocks. Sources associated with the cliffs of the fourth period, are associated with groundwater rivers.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-136-141
PROCESSİNG OF DATA BASED ON FUZZY RULES
Kifayat Mammadova, Yegana Aliyeva, Matanat Hasanquliyeva
After establishing a fuzzy rule base using the interpolation result mechanism, arranging a fuzzy inference system is performed. The established system will infer about the level of risk using a fuzzy rule base and input statistics. In this work, the construction of the inference system has been determined using fuzzy rules interpolation.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-142-147
MORPHOMETRICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF AVALANCHES WITH THE USE OF A UAV (on the example of Ile Alatau)
Aidana Kamalbekova, Victor Blagoveshchensky, Sandugash Ranova, Uldzhan Aldabergen
The article deals with the experience of using an unmanned aerial vehicle (DJI Matrice 300 RTK) and Agisoft Metashape software to obtain the characteristics of avalanches that descend- ed in late March in the Shukur and Kotyrbulak tracts (Pioneer avalanche) in the Ile Alatau mountains. UAVs can perform observations in remote and dangerous areas, quickly reach the scene, and capture high-quality images and video.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-148-152
ESTIMATION OF THE PROBABILITY OF ELIMINATING CRITICAL FAILURES OF DISTANTLY CONTROLLED OBJECTS
Alexander Dokukin, Mikhail Lomakin
The problem of determining the probability of timely elimination of critical failures under conditions of incomplete data represented by small samples of hardware dwell time in failure state and critical hardware time is considered. This probability is the probability of stochastic dominance of the critical time of the hardware over the time of the hardware in the state of failure, i.e. the probability that the random time of the hardware in the state of failure is less than the critical time of the hardware. Critical time is the time during which the elimination of the occurred failures does not lead to the occurrence of an unrecoverable failure of the object or to a significant reduction in the efficiency of its functioning.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-153-157
THE ESSENCE OF THE DELPHI METHOD AND ITS MAIN ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES
Albina Berkaeva, Sergey Yablochnikov, Andrey Butyrin, Irina Tararyshkina, Tofig Mansurov
This article is devoted to the study of the essence and main meaning of the Delphi method, developed in the 50s of the 20th century in the United States. In those years, this method was used to identify the impact of scientific and technological progress in matters of a military nature. Now, the Delphi method is universal and can be applied in any branch of activity, which increases its relevance. In addition, we have studied the main advantages and disadvantages of using this method at the level of world experience. We also considered the problems of using the Delphi method at the level of the Russian economy.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-158-163
CLIMATE AND ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING OF THE BALTIC SEA: GENERAL PRINCIPLES AND APPROACHES
Leyla Bashirova, Vadim Sivkov, Marina Ulyanova, Aleksander Gavrikov, Arseniy Artamonov
The environment of the Baltic Sea is heavily influenced by human activities. In addition, the region is undergoing significant changes in the face of global climate change. Therefore, it is necessary to assess the state of the environment and greenhouse gas emissions in the region. In 2022, the Programme for the development of the system of climate and environmental monitoring of the Russian seas was launched. For the Baltic Sea, the spatial and temporal scheme of the regional monitoring module has been designed to carry out long-term, regular, and large-scale surveys. The satellite monitoring is based on the analysis of radiometer data and includes analyses of the spatial and temporal variability of suspended particulate matter and chlorophyll a concentrations, as well as sea surface temperature. The shipboard monitoring consists of seasonal and monthly surveys. The coastal monitoring is based on data from sensors in- stalled on a 57-m met tower as a permanent climate and environmental monitoring station located on the coast of the south-eastern part of the Baltic Sea (Kaliningrad Oblast, Russia).
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-164-171
INTERNATIONAL MODELS OF RISK MANAGEMENT: FERMA, COSO AND ISO
Valentina Dzobelova, Sergey Yablochnikov, Maxim Makhiboroda, Lyubov Manukhina, Anna Vedyashova
This article discusses the most important risk management standards that play a very significant role in the activity of any enterprise, both at the micro- and macro level, in order to re- duce negative factors that have an impact on the financial activities of the enterprise. During the analysis, we considered the main models of risk management known as FERMA, COSO and ISO, the origin of which is European, American and international, respectively. The scientific work reveals the essence of each risk management model, highlighting their features and characteristics.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-172-177
BIOMORPHOLOGICAL ANALYSIS AND OCCURANCE OF ENDEMIC AND RELICT SPECIES OF THE CHECHEN REPUBLIC
Zazu Iriskhanova, Khava Khanaeva, Birlant Khasueva
This article provides a biomorphological analysis and occurrence of endemic and relict species of the Chechen Republic. Endemic species (taxa unique to a particular geographical area) are characteristic elements of local biodiversity. Narrow endemics occupy isolated habitats, often associated with limited ranges of ecological conditions or small common geographic ranges. The analysis is based on the processing of herbarium materials and field observations of the authors.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-178-185
ENGINEERING ESTIMATION OF AIR REGIME OF BUILDING FACADE SYSTEMS WITH FIRE CUT OFFS
Samira Akbarova, Reyhan Akbarli
The facade is one of the most important elements of the building in terms of its fire safety, as a fire leads to serious building damage and human casualties. The article considers the influence of fire cut-offs on the parameters of the airflow in the ventilated gap of the hinged facade sys- tem. An engineering estimation of solid and perforated horizontal fire cut-offs used in Azerbaijan is presented.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-186-194
Eldar Gasumov, Ramiz Gasumov, Gazanfar Suleymanov, Khalig Kurbanov
The article considers the prospects for Azerbaijan's participation in the diversification of energy supplies to the European market, in the conditions of the energy crisis due to the difficult geopolitical situation in the world. Possible ways to reduce the serious risks of failures in the supply of energy resources while ensuring the energy security of the countries of the European continent are given. The negative impact of the crisis that has arisen in the energy market on the global energy supply chain to the EU countries and on the state of the world economy is analyzed. Steps taken by the EU to radically increase supply via traditional EU import routes as well as completely new sources of energy are examined. Various measures implemented by European countries to ensure their own energy security, including the diversification of the supply of energy resources used to generate energy, including through non-renewable mineral substances, renewable organic resources and a number of natural processes, are considered.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-195-205
ECOLOGY OF USED ENGINE OIL ADDINOL
Elvira Guseinova, Gahraman Hasanov, Elman Akhyadov
Comprehensive spectroscopic studies of used and regenerated with chloric acid samples of ADDINOL engine oil were carried out. It was revealed that during the operation of engine oil, structural changes in hydrocarbon components, the formation of oxygen-containing com- pounds, and the accumulation of products of thermal destruction and friction occur. An assessment was made of the qualitative changes in used motor oil under the influence of chloric acid.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-206-211
Emil Bayramov, Manfred Buchroithner, Martin Kada, Saida Aliyeva
These studies focused on the quantitative assessment of the surface displacement velocities and rates and their natural and man-made controlling factors as the potential risks along the seismically active 70 km section of buried oil and gas pipeline in Azerbaijan using Persistent Scatterer Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (PS-InSAR) and Small Baseline Subset (SBAS-InSAR) remote sensing analysis. The diverse spatial distribution and variation of ground movement processes along pipelines demonstrated that general geological and geotechnical understanding of the study area is not sufficient to find and mitigate all the critical sites of subsidence and uplifts for the pipeline operators. This means that both techniques out- lined in this paper provide a significant improvement for ground deformation monitoring or can significantly contribute to the assessment of geohazards and preventative countermeasures along petroleum and gas pipelines.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-212-221
CREATING FOREST CARBON LANDFILLS: FOREST CARBON
Rustam Gakaev, Magomed-Sadyk Bahaev, Islam Gumaev
Currently, significant attention is paid to environmental issues at all levels of management. Over the long history of human civilization, significant environmental damage has been ac- cumulated, because not only large-scale industrial production, but also ordinary human life leads to the formation of a significant amount of harmful products that pollute the atmosphere, soil, and water spaces. The huge scale of the accumulated damage makes it necessary to resolve environmental issues at the highest level - the level of international organizations and the leadership of individual states.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-222-230
Georgy Fomenko, Marina A. Fomenko
Evaluating international technical assistance projects usually calls for assessing the efficiency and effectiveness of planned indicators. As climatic uncertainty and risk increase, there is a need to improve approaches to assessing the activities of such projects. Using the example of a project to adapt dryland dehkan households, cooperatives, and farms in the Aral Sea region (the Republic of Karakarpakstan in Uzbekistan) to climate change, this research methodically substantiates a set of indicators to assess the long-term effectiveness of adaptation measures. With regard to humanitarian support measures (which are strengthening the hydrometeoro- logical monitoring network, creating early warning systems, raising public awareness about various climate threats and possibilities to reduce their negative consequences, and reclaiming the dried-up Aral Sea bottom to reduce dustiness) that pursue noneconomic goals, an assessment was made against previously established project performance indicators.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-231-237
RISK ASSESSMENT OF USING ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE SYSTEMS IN CREATIVE HUMAN ACTIVITIES
Elshad Aliyev
Developing at an incredible pace, high technologies occupy almost all areas of human activity. Today, one of the most striking examples of high technology is undoubtedly systems classified as artificial intelligence (AI). AI and robots are widely used in manufacturing, heavy industry, agriculture, and many other industries, as well as in the arts. The development of artificial intelligence is of interest to many philosophers, sociologists and other scientists and raises many questions. A. Turing, S. McCarthy, A. Barr, M. A. Boden, M. Kokkelberg, A. Elgammal, S. Awdry and other scientists have conducted detailed studies of artificial intelligence systems, philosophical aspects, and creativity. However, despite numerous scientific studies, the questions raised are still relevant. Do Robotic Artworks Prove the Creative Power of Artificial Intelligence? Can AI Be Creative in General? Most of these questions have different answers and lead to conflicting opinions. The article analyzes the creative potential of various modern AI systems and qualitatively assesses the risk of their uncontrolled use in creative areas of human activity.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-238-250
Liubov Kalimanova, Olga Taseiko
The assessment methodology for epidemiological non-carcinogenic risks makes it possible to evaluate the potential consequences for human health of different variants of previous and predicted exposures to pollutants. The article considers the influence of pollution in the atmospheric air of Krasnoyarsk on the formation of mortality risks from diseases of the digestive system.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-251-257
CLASSIFICATION OF ACCIDENTAL OIL SPILLS IN OIL EXTRACTION AND ASSESSMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS
Hajar Ismayilova, Ulviyya Huseynova, Hikmat Babirov
The distribution and characteristics of the results of accidents in oil pumping and hydrocarbon transportation systems by degrees of severity are given in separate categories. A new methodical approach was proposed for the evaluation of the ecological and economic risk factor.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-258-261
RESERCH OF REDUCING THE RISKS THAT MAY ARISE DURING THE PREPARATION OF GAS TRANSPORTATION
Fikrat Seyfiyev, Sahib Abdurahimov, Irada Hajiyeva, Meherrem Harbizadeh, Vagif Rustamov, Ulfet Tagi-zade
In order to prevent risks that may occur due to hydrates and other reasons in the system during gas collection and preparation for transport, detailed information is provided due to the study results of methanol prepared on the basis of local chemical products and diethylene glycol, used as an absorbent in the gas-methanol-water system, in laboratory conditions. According to the results of the research conducted on the basis of samples taken from the fields, surfactants, i.e., methanol, used to prevent the hydrate formation in production facilities, pipe- lines for the purpose of preventing accidents, failures, and the risk of environmental pollution there are many possibilities to optimize the amount of reagents required. In the next stage, methanol can be captured and reused through the diethylene glycol regeneration unit. By capturing methanol from the gas phase and regenerating both methanol itself and the diethylene glycol inhibitor, it is possible to protect the environment and minimize the risks that may occur in technological processes.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-262-266
Mikheil Pipia, Avtandil Amiranashvili, Nazibrola Beglarashvili, Elizbar Elizbarashvili, Otar Varazanashvili
The results of the analysis of radar studies of hail processes over the territories of Georgia and Azerbaijan on May 28 and July 13, 2019 are presented. Based on the values of the maximum size of hailstones in clouds, using the Zimenkov-Ivanov model, the expected sizes of hailstones falling on the earth's surface are calculated. The degree of damage to vineyards, wheat and corn, depending on the size of the hail, was determined by summarizing the known data on damage to these crops at different kinetic energy of hail and data on the average kinetic energy of hail of different magnitudes. Based on this compilation, regression equations were obtained for the relationship between the degree of damage to these crops and the size of hailstones, which have the form of a sixth degree of a polynomial. According to this equation, calculations were made of the degree of maximum damage to vineyards, wheat and corn along the trajecto- ries of hail clouds over the territories of Georgia and Azerbaijan.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-267-274
UP-TO-DATE DETAILED SEISMIC ZONING OF REGIONS IN KAZAKHSTAN (PGA CASE)
Natalya Silacheva
The results of the first project in Kazakhstan on the Detailed Seismic Zoning of regions on a new methodological basis are presented. The Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment is carried out for the territories of East Kazakhstan (since 2022 EKO and Abay), Almaty (since 2022 Almaty and Zhetysu) and Zhambyl regions using a methodology consistent with the main provisions of Eurocode 8 and updated compared to that used in maps of the recent General Seismic Zoning of Kazakhstan territory. Modern methods and tools of analysis were used, as well as the most complete and up-to-date information available for the territories under consideration. The seismic source model included areal sources and active faults. The developed maps are discussed and hazard curves and uniform hazard spectra for the main cities in the considered regions are presented. The obtained results are generally consistent with the General Seismic Zoning but display some differences in PGA distribution due to including active faults and a comprehensively revised catalogue. Zoning maps will be the basis for the development of new state building regulations of the Republic of Kazakhstan.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-275-282
DIAGNOSTICS OF RISKY MULTIPHASE FLOW ZONES IN OIL PIPELINES
Gulnara Zeynalova, Gafar Ismayilov
This article examines the properties and formation of free-flow areas in the compressed profile of indicative oil pipelines. The risks of the formation of multiphase flow zones in oil pipelines were investigated and a method for diagnosis was developed. Additionally, this article studies the issues related to the pre sence of free-flow zones formed within the stationary regimes of oil pipelines, as well as the identification of their coordinates. Case studies are drawn based on the hydraulic slope and the pressure balance and contingent upon the lay, which aim to account for
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-283-287
EQUATION OF STATE OF HYDROCARBONS FOR THE LIQUID PHASE
Vagif Hasanov, Nurmammad Mammadov, Jeyhun Naziyev, Malahat Mammadova, Adila Zeynalova
İt is necessary to construct equations of state that qualitatively and quantitatively accurately reflect the behavior of the thermodynamic surface in the considered range of parameters, in order to compile tables of the thermodynamic properties of liquids. A sufficient amount of high-precision experimental data on the P-V-T dependence is necessary to constructing such equations. Most of the equations are not suitable for extrapolation, they are valid in limited areas of state parameters. An equation of state with three coefficients is proposed to describe the P-V-T dependence of liquid hydrocarbons of various molecular structures (benzene, n- octane, isooctane, octene-1).
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-288-295
GEODYNAMIC REGIME OF FORMATION OF THE MESO-CENOZOIC SEDIMENTARY COVER OF THE ABSHERON ARCHIPELAGO
Yelena Pogorelova, Murad Abdulla-zada, Allahverdi Tagiyev
The main goal of geodynamic analysis is to learn to perceive sedimentary basins as integral natural objects, to determine their genesis, structure and stages of evolution, classification of sedimentary basins and forecast of their oil and gas potential. It is well known that the changes that occur in the earth's crust are mainly the result of subcrustal processes and adjacent plate interaction. The type of the Earth's crust underlying the sedimentary basin determines the physical basis, stability, tectonic restructuring and sedimentation conditions throughout the evolution of the basin. Geodynamic conditions of sedimentary cover formation in the region under consideration were studied on the basis of the principles of tectonic formation of the Caspian basin and the adjacent area, developed by Azerbaijani and foreign scientists.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-296-303
DETERMINATION OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL TEMPERATURE DEGREE ON MAGNETIC LEVITATION CORE INDUCTION
Orkhan Afandiyev, Aynura Allahverdiyeva
The issues on determining the degree of influence of temperature changes caused by climatic features of the area, internal heat generation during the operation of an electronic circuit and other reasons on the value of the magnetic induction of the levitating magnetic core are analyzed in the article. Based on the results of preliminary studies, the model of the Magnetic Levitation System (MLS), the dependence on the temperature of the magnetic induction on the levitating core was obtained. The preliminary investigation results of the MLS show that the magnetic induction of the levitating core is a linear monotonically decreasing function of temperature. The aim of this issue is to study the effect of temperature on the nature of the power characteristics of the MLS, the temperature in the measuring chamber of which has a significant effect, which indicates the violation of the levitation current stability caused by temperature changes in the magnetic induction of the levitating magnetic core (which indicates the violation of the levitation current stability).
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-304-307
RISK ASSESSMENT STUDY OF KEY COMPONENTS OF THE DIGITAL ECONOMY
Laila Gazieva, Timur Aygumov, Alexander Natalson
This study provides a comprehensive risk assessment of key components of the digital economy to ensure sustainable growth and mitigate potential adverse impacts. The research methodology included a literature review, analysis of academic sources, data and economic indicators, case studies, and development of risk assessment models. The results of the analysis confirm that the digital economy provides significant opportunities for development and progress in modern society. However, it also carries certain risks and challenges, such as cybersecurity, data privacy, ethical issues, artificial intelligence, and misinformation. These insights enable business leaders, governments and the public to prioritize risk management and develop strategies that advance the sustainable and responsible development of the digital economy. Based on this study, measures can be taken to improve cybersecurity, ensure data privacy, ethical use of artificial intelligence and counter disinformation, in order to provide a favorable and sustainable environment for the further development of the digital economy.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-308-312
OIL AND GAS PROSPECTS OF TECTONIC CRASHING ZONES OF THE KURA INTERMOUNTAIN DEPRESSION
Gultar Nasibova, Emil Ismayilzadeh, Shura Ganbarova, Mehriban Ismayilova
The article considers lithofacies and structural-tectonic conditions of oil and gas formation in the Kura depression. In addition, the formation of oil and gas accumulation zones in the crushing nodes in the Mesozoic deposits was determined and the role of faults in their formation was studied, tectonic crushing zones were found using seismically active zones in the- se deposits, the issues of prospects analysis were studied and the issues of prospecting and exploration were considered. Taking into consideration that the tectonic crushing zones are formed in Mesozoic deposits composed mainly of competence rocks, it can be predicted that oil and gas fields in these zones are associated mainly with Mesozoic age rocks. In the Middle Kura depression, the surface of the Mesozoic deposits lies at a depth of up to 4-5 km, therefore it is considered favorable for exploration. Due to this, the oil and gas prospects of the tectonic crushing zones was studied in the Mesozoic deposits as a prospecting object of the Middle Kura depression.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-313-322
THE IMPACT AND PROSPECTS OF USING ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN THE ECONOMY
Larisa Aguzarova, Fatima Aguzarova, Kamilla Tsallaeva
This paper discusses issues related to the development of technologies and the relationship of this process with economic processes. Due to the rapid digitalization, the importance and role of artificial intelligence are growing. At the same time there are many problems and they are considered in this paper: unemployment of technical workers, a security problem that is associated with the confidentiality, the existing neural networks cannot be suitable for use in all industries etc. When using the generalization method, the authors have made relevant conclusions and recommendations for using Artificial Intellect: to solve the following universal tasks: automatic translation; getting business intelligence; recognition of visual signs; character recognition; information extraction; understanding and analyzing texts; image analysis; ensuring information security and protection against cyber-attacks; speech recognition; robot- ic tools for the implementation of tasks at different levels and in different fields.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-323-329
THE ROLE OF THE HUMAN FACTOR IN THE MARKET ECONOMY
Albina Berkaeva, Irina Yablochnikova, Georgi Kutsuri, Tengiz Tinikashvili, Ekaterina Stativa
One of the basic resources of economic growth is the human factor, the relevance of which in the modern economic system is actively increasing. This is primarily because every day many companies are becoming more and more aware of the importance of the considered category in any business for efficient and successful operation. Indeed, in the current realities, it is the human factor that is responsible for the well-being and success of enterprises due to the competence and professionalism of employees. In this regard, in our opinion, the main task of any management team is to find ways to manage the company's employees as efficiently as possible by creating favorable mutually beneficial conditions for both the labor power and the entire business as a whole.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-330-335
THE MAIN TRENDS IN THE LABOUR MARKET DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONTEXT OF THE ECONOMY DIGITALIZATION
Valentina Dzobelova, Sergey Bakunin, Vitaly Lukinov, Viktoria Erofeeva
The article considers the influence of the digital economy development on the labour market, identifying its main advantages and disadvantages. The increase in the unemployment rate due to the disappearance of a number of obsolete professions, that have lost their relevance in the context of modern developing relations, can be attributed to the fundamental negative factors of the labour market digitalization. In addition, after analyzing the opinions of various domestic and foreign experts, it is concluded that it is impossible until 2030 to completely replace human labour with robotics, despite the rapid development of information and communication technologies.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-336-341
OPTIMIZATION OF THE COMPOSITION OF SPARE PARTS FOR THE AGING TYPE OBJECTS
Aleksandr Antonov, Aleksandr Murkin
The paper solves the problem of optimizing the composition of spare parts for objects of aging type. A model for calculating the profit from the operation of equipment with spare elements is proposed. The Kijima-Sumita model is used as a model to describe the process of exhaustion of the object's operability. The developed model is investigated on simulation data.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-342-348
TECHNOLOGIES OF INFORMATION SUPPORT OF TERRITORIAL SAFETY MANAGEMENT
Valeriy Nicheporchuk, Ulyana Postnikova
The paper presents approaches aimed at solving the problems of territorial administration related to: limited availability of integrated monitoring data, the impossibility of reproducing risk calculations by independent groups of researchers; the general nature of recommendations on the composition and scope of preventive measures, formed based on the results of risk calculations and not taking into account the specifics of S-N-T systems; lack of indicators for assessing the impact on safety of the implemented preventive measures; lack of scientific substantiation of management processes, the absence of generally accepted models for forecasting the security of territories for a long-term period, which allow more systematic planning of strategic
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-349-355
EVALUATION OF THE INFLUENCE OF LONGITUDINAL OSCILLATIONS ON DYNAMIC RESISTANCE OF NON-UNIFORM CORES
Asim Imamaliyev
The relevance of the problem of calculating the vibrations of complex rod systems is due to the practical need to improve the technical characteristics of the designed machines and mechanisms and ensure their functioning under ever wider ranges of operational impacts, as well as to reduce the material consumption of machines and structures. To fully determine the strains and stresses that occur at any point in the system during vibrations, it is necessary to know the displacements at these points. This leads to the need to consider systems with an infinite number of degrees of freedom.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-356-359
ESG - CRITERIA AT THE PRESENT STAGE OF SOCIETY DEVELOPMENT
Alisa Olisaeva, Marina Galazova, Leyla Magomayeva, Anastasia Ledovskaya
The current challenge facing society and business is to study the ESG agenda, implement it into operations and develop appropriate recommendations to promote ESG principles to improve the environment and well-being of the global community. In order to address inequality and stimulate economic growth, the UN adopted the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development in 2015 and launched a plan to ensure sustainability for present and future generations, reduce poverty and improve the lives of people around the world.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-360-368
THEORETICAL AND CONCEPTUAL APPROACHES TO STUDYING THE NATURE OF ECONOMIC GROWTH
Alina Gudieva, Tatyana Sitokhova, Marianna Kelekhsaeva, Magomed Suleymanov, Kantemir Khachirov
The subject of this article is the study of the theoretical foundations of the phenomenon of economic growth. During the study, the authors chose a general retrospective methodology and predominantly historical analysis.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-369-380
Lyubov Ivashchenko, Stanislav Panteleev, Oleg Baranov
In the course of the study, specific primers were developed to identify 20 species of phytopathogenic bacteria from 12 genera associated with the occurrence of infectious diseases in seven forest-forming species of Belarus. The results showed that the developed oligonucleotides are specific for the 16S (mtDNA and cpDNA) and 23S rRNA genes of the studied phytopathogenic bacteria.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-381-386
Arun Daukaev, Rustam Gakaev, Tumisha Bachaeva
The article is devoted to the problem of climate change on Earth, and in particular in the Caucasus. The main trends in climate change are traced during the Holocene epoch of the Quaternary period. Attention is focused on the most noticeable periods of cooling and warming - the medieval warming period, the Little Ice Age, the newest warming period, which began at the end of the 19th century. The issue of global warming is also touched upon.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-387-390
THE ESTIMATED REASON FOR THE LOW EFFICIENCY OF HYDROCYCLONES IN PETROLEUM INDUSTRY
Gafar Ismayilov, Amrah Gulubayli, Samir Musayev, Shafa Musayeva
In the paper, according to the multiphase technology, the reason for the low efficiency of hydrocyclones for multiphase disperse systems was analyzed. The condition of equality of the shear and centrifugal forces during the operation of the hydrocyclone is shown. It has been established that, based on the correct choice of technological parameters, it is possible to avoid the negative effect of the shear force in cylindrical flows on the operation of hydrocyclones.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-391-395
THE PROBLEM OF POVERTY IN THE MODERN WORLD IN THE CONTEXT OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Ayna Salamova, Saleh Khodjaliev, Sergey Dokholyan
Described figures from official statistics: towards the present time, approximately 40% of us live below this poverty line. It created the choice of topic and its relevance. To study this problem in detail, it is necessary to conduct an in-depth scientific study, a thorough theoretical analysis and the development of practical guidelines based on the presented basis. These guide- lines could be used to develop and implement an effective economic and social policy that would undoubtedly be aimed at reducing poverty to the lowest level.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-396-403
Sevinj Rzaeva, Jamal Guseynov, Allahverdi Tagiyev
The impact of global climate changes on the perennial precipitation regime in the southern part of the Greater Caucasus region was studied. In the analysis, the precipitation observation data of 8 meteorological stations during the years 1991-2020 were used. Multi-year (1991- 2020) various indicators of precipitation were compared with the base quantities. In the study, the multi-year period was considered for 2 periods (1991-2005, 2006-2020) and the monthly, seasonal and annual trends of precipitation were compared. The study found that the multi- year average temperature in the province for the last 30 years was 11-140C in the lowlands and 6-70C in the mid-mountains.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-404-410
FORECASTING OF THE PROBABILITY OF UNNATURAL DESTRUCTIVE EVENTS OCCURRENCE AT REFINERY COMPLEXES
Oksana Morozova, Stanislav Butuzov, Valery Artyukhin
The paper proposes some approaches to building a model for predicting the probability of emergency situations at the enterprises of the oil refining complex in modern conditions. The approach is based on modeling using the binomial distribution. The initial data of the model are open data on the occurrence of emergencies on the territory of the Russian Federation for the period 2022–2023.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-411-416
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY OF ECOSYSTEMS
Magomed Suleymanov, Evgeniya Atamas, Aliheydar Shahmarov
Attempts to undermine the significance of the UN 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development adopted in 2015 under the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic quickly gave way to the importance of uniting efforts aimed at achieving the 17 Goals that are the basis of governance (SDGs). Efforts at many levels - from states and their regional entities to municipalities, corporations, or ultimately the level of specific people in society by and large. Attention to sustainable development issues is also growing against the backdrop of an obvious deterioration in the climate situation and the need to create energy security.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-417-421
RISK ASSESSMENT IN SUBSEA PIPELINES FOR THE CASPIAN SEA CONDITIONS
Ramiz Ismayilov, Rugiya Asgerova, Ismayil Ismayilov, Turkan Guliyeva
The article presents the results of studies conducted on the analysis of risks in the underwater pipelines of the Azerbaijan sector of the Caspian Sea. For the study, the results of long-term observations of the state of the state of underwater pipelines and the opinions of experts in this field were collected. Based on the analysis of these data, the most characteristic situations were identified that, to one degree or another, led to the loss of pipeline performance and the need for repair and restoration work. It was found that the main hazards for subsea pipelines in the Caspian Sea are external and internal corrosion. Pipelines floating, damage at pipe junctions, vibrations, damage from falling foreign objects, and wave impacts in the coastal strip.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-422-427
Sapiyat Tsutsulaeva
The deportation of Chechens and Ingush were a repression with social and economic consequences for the deportees themselves. This forced displacement of Kazakhstanis and living in difficult conditions in new settlements caused great problems and difficulties for them, as well as for the economy of Kazakhstan. Their forced displacement and living in difficult conditions made it possible to solve many problems with economic development at all.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-428-433
ECONOMIC SECURITY IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES: CHALLENGES, SOLUTIONS, AND RECOMMENDATIONS
Rizvan Aliev, Tamerlan Magomaev, Apti Mentsiev
Addressing the risk of the European population trap demands responsible population control and sustainable resource management. The research emphasizes the interconnectedness of economic and national security, advocating for a holistic approach that integrates policies to foster economic resilience, promote social inclusion, and safeguard national interests. Policymakers must consider these multifaceted dimensions to ensure sustainable economic security and prosperity in the face of global challenges.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-434-440
Yury Nefedov, Danila Gribanov, Emil Gasimov, Dmitry Peskov, Gao Han, Nikita Vostrikov, Shafagat Pashayeva
The results obtained characterize the expected sediment geometry, lithology distribution due to sea level changes, paleogeography, paleoclimate, tectonics and sediment input rates. The results allow the evaluation of different options and enable us to predict the distribution of prospective oil and gas bearing sediments in areas where no wells have been drilled. As a result, a sedimentation model was obtained, which reflects the formation of the elements of the sedimentation system of the study area. According to the sedimentation model, the main facies zones of the turbidite sediments under consideration are identified.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-441-448
DIAGNOSIS OF THE RISK OF OIL LEAKS FROM PIPELINES
Hajar Ismayilova, Fidan Ismayilova, Mansur Shahlarly
The research paper studies the issue of detecting the location and amount of hydrocarbon losses in cases of accident-damage (spill), which occur during the transportation of oil and oil products via the technological and main pipes. The grapho-analytical method has been introduced and tested in order to determine a location and degree of the leakage following the change in working parameters.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-449-455
NPP MAINTENANCE AND REPAIR RISK MANAGEMENT: THE CASE OF RUSSIA
Mariia Volos, Evgenii Polev
The process efficiency indicators as indicators of risk tolerance are considered. An effectiveness assessment of the risk management system of the maintenance and repair process is presented. The key shortcomings are identified. The line of further research on shortcomings exclusion is formulated.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-456-464
Gulchohra Aliyeva
The obvious conclusion by examining the proceedings of the Sub-Committee on the International Maritime English Conference (IMEC) is that the English language is rapidly gaining ground on effective delivering of lectures within the maritime establishments because its com- position, flexibility, vocabulary and pragmatics completely makes it to become the “Lingua Franca” of Maritime English.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-465-471
SPECIAL TAX REGIMES AS A TOOL FOR ENSURING ECONOMIC SECURITY
Larisa Aguzarova, Fatima Aguzarova
The subject of this article is the study of special tax regimes as a tool for ensuring economic security. In the course of scientific research, the authors used general scientific methods. Among them: improvement of tax legislation in terms of certain elements of the regimes under consideration and conditions for their application; exemption from tax payments of newly created business entities until they receive profits; creation of comfortable conditions with counterparties. The authors emphasize that the main purpose of applying the regimes is the strengthening and further development of business entities, as well as ensuring economic security.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-472-478
Jamala Mamedova
The paper considers the use of exhaust gas heat in modular power plants. In this regard, fuel consumption at power plants will decrease, efficiency of power plant will increase the emission of harmful gases into the atmosphere and environmental burden will reduce.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-479-482
AEROSPACE MONITORING OF SEA OIL POLLUTION BASED ON TECHNOLOGIES OF COGNITIVE AND EXPERT SYSTEMS
Nazif Sattarov
The development of new technologies and methodologies that provide information support for ecological observations (in particular, environmental audit and risk analysis), is of decisive importance. In this regard, remote sensing from orbiters exemplifies a powerful method of planetary exploration. Onboard sensors provide unique views of the Earth's surface combined with a large range. On the base of the above-mentioned facts, this paper is aimed at discussing several important features of aerospace monitoring of the oil pollution of the Caspian Sea surface using technologies of cognitive and expert systems.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-483-488
MONITORING OF INDIVIDUAL SEISMIC RISK AT ALL STAGES OF DEVELOPMENT OF A POSSIBLE EARTHQUAKE SOURCE
Gennady Nigmetov, Andrei Savinov, Temir Nigmetov
The effectiveness of measures on seismic safety of the population will depend on how correctly the possible earthquake source and seismic hazard zones, in which destructive seismic impact is expected, seismic resistance of buildings in these hazard zones, the number of population falling into the seismic zone, possible consequences have been determined. Knowing the possible consequences, it is easy to determine the necessary forces and means to prevent risks and rescue the population.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-489-499
Rza Makhmudov, Vugar Aliyev, Movlud Teymurov, Emil Gafarov
A new method (CWBM) is proposed for calculating the water balance of the territory and water resources of rivers. CWBM was developed on the basis of reliable scientific sources (satellite images, GIS-technologies, modern scientific approaches, advanced hydrological models). Comparison of the actual and calculated with CWBM method flow for 113 river basins of Azerbaijan shows that the error between them was up to 10% for 92 and 10-15% for 21 rivers.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-500-509
CONSTRUCTION OF A MULTI-CONNECTED CONTROL SYSTEM FOR SAFE COKE PRODUCTION
Aygun Safarova, Elchin Melikov, Tamella Magerramova
The risks that may arise from all waste types in production objects are identified and controlled. According to the oil company's policy, reducing the impact of waste on the environment determines its recycling. In the technological processes course, environmental protection and safety personnel constantly monitor installation for gas safety, inspect the air and toxic environment, and ensure gas safety at work. When the raw material is heated to the required temperature in the furnace, the gas fuel supplied to the furnace creates a fire hazard. Technically, oil products coking makes it possible to cost-effectively and expediently increase and improve oil refining.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-510-517
Vagif Karimov, Mehriban Ismailova, Jafar Sharifov, Yuri Nefedov
The article uses data obtained during exploratory drilling. By conducting comprehensive studies and analyzing available literary sources, the characteristics of the hydrogeological situation associated with the occurrence of groundwater and water strikes were clarified. Also, the hydrological conditions in the area where the research was conducted were studied and analyzed. The conditions of groundwater formation, chemical composition, mineralization and other indicators of groundwater are studied, the areas of their distribution are determined, and recommendations are given for their rational use for irrigation and other purposes in agriculture and to provide the need for fresh water in the liberated Aghdam region.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-518-525
DATA-DRIVEN DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION: CHALLENGES AND STRATEGIES FOR EFFECTIVE BIG DATA MANAGEMENT
Adam Mentsiev, Timur Aygumov, Elmira Amirova
The study is devoted to the study and analysis of the risks associated with managing big data during the period of digital transformation of organizations. The purpose of the work is to identify the problems and risks that organizations face when integrating and using big data in an effort to remain competitive and successful in today's economic realities. The study uses a mixed approach to data analysis, which allows a comprehensive study of the issues of data management in the process of digital transformation. In the course of the work, the main problems and risks that organizations face when working with big data are identified. These risks include data governance and privacy, data security, data integration and interoperability, scalability and infrastructure, data quality and integrity, and employee skill and experience issues. The study proposes strategies to address these challenges, including developing a comprehensive data governance framework, investing in data security, and using advanced analytics and artificial intelligence.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-526-531
PORTABLE PROPERTIES OF THE RESERVOIR WATERS USED IN POWER SYSTEM
Vagif Hasanov, Jeyhun Naziyev, Leyla Hasanova, Aqil Omarov, İrada Aliyeva, Gulshan Akhundova
In comparison with the sea shipping, systematic pollution of the sea by oil seems insignificant under oil-and-gas field engineering. Measurements of the viscosity of reservoir waters by re- mote capillary in the temperature interval of (298.15 to 598.15) ºK and the pressure of (0.1 to 40) MPa are reported. The relative uncertainty in the viscosity does not exceed ± 1.8 ℅. An equation describing viscosity of the studied reservoir waters and the dependence with the mineralization, pressure and temperatures is given.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-532-538
Irina Oltyan, Elena Arefyeva, Mikhail Bolgov, Nikita Oltyan
Method presented in the article for modeling parameters of catastrophic floods, such as the water level of the given probability of exceedance and depth of corresponding probability of exceedance, as well as the flooding area for unexplored territories, is based on the use of the digital relief model approach, construction of hydrographic network in the form of oriented graph characterizing the direction of water flow, invoking generalized regime hydrological information in the form of estimated parameters maps of the maximum flow, and the use of virtual gauging stations, as information reference points for calculations.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-539-551
FIBER-OPTIC SENSOR FOR FUNCTIONAL SECURITY OF THE OBJECT PERIMETER PROTECTION SYSTEM
Tofig Mansurov, Elnur Mansurov, Irina Yablochnikova, Gulnar Gurbanova, Rahman Mammadov
Experimental studies have been carried out to determine the susceptibility of various types of optical fiber to macrobending, the dependence of the attenuation of the optical radiation signal on the macrobending radius, the length of the macrobending arc, and the mass of the unauthorized access object.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-552-559
Yegana Aliyeva, Kifayat Mammadova, Matanat Hasanguliyeva
The conducted research allowed to identify redundancy in correction procedures in known three-wave solar photometers. Two new methods for constructing compensated photometers are proposed. In the proposed constructions, the correction procedure is limited to the calculation and installation of one correction factor.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-560-564
SOME ASPECTS OF OPERATIONAL RISK MANAGEMENT IN OIL AND GAS FIELD PIPELINES
Gafar Ismayilov, Elman Iskandarov, Zivar Farzalizade, Rabiya Abishova
Field technological pipelines - capital engineering structures designed for long-term operation and intended for the uninterrupted transport of well products (oil, gas, condensates, water and their mixtures) to the treatment complex. Negative risk events accompanying the operation of field process pipelines, including failure, total or partial loss of serviceability may occur during operation and are related to several factors. This paper outlines the risk factors, the main adverse impacts and threats to oil and gas field pipelines, and the rules for operational risk mitigation for oil and gas field pipelines.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-565-568
Vyachåslav Zviagintsev, Anna Prokhîrîva, Tatiana Surina, Daria Belomesyeva
As a result of assessing the distribution of adventitious species of phytopathogens on the territory of Belarus, a trend of increasing the number of recorded invasions was identified. Every year, an average of 3-4 new pathogens of infectious diseases of woody plants are identified in forests and gardens, and over the past 25 years, at least 57 new types of phytopathogens have been recorded. Many of the newly identified species have already passed the stage of acclimatization, and some have a significant impact on the sanitary condition of forests and parks, causing significant damage.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-569-581
Peter Belousov, Anastasia Rumyantseva, Ksenia Kim, Boris Pokidko, Vitaliy Milyutin, Yulia Izosimova, Ekaterina Tyupina
This work is devoted to the review of mineral and organic natural sorbents for the purpose of purification of polluted waters of industrial enterprises. Structural features, differences in the composition and properties of the most common natural sorbents, features of their application and sorption mechanisms of pollutants are shown. The main mechanisms of sorption for clay minerals and zeolite is ion exchange; for siliceous rocks such as diatomite, tripoli and gaize - physical adsorption on the surface of pores and reaction with silonol groups. Organic natural sorbents have both mechanisms of complex formation and physical adsorption, as well as ion exchange. It is shown that the creation of multicomponent granular permeable granules can significantly increase the efficiency of natural sorbents and will make their use more accessible and improve the safety of the industrial sector and nuclear legacy facilities.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-582-587
ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS ASSESSMENT OF COASTAL AREA IN THE SOUTH-EASTERN BALTIC SEA TO OIL POLLUTION
Elena Krek, Alexander Krek, Vadim Sivkov, Zhanna Stont
A low probability of oil pollution of coasts from two main potential sources located in the waters of Kaliningrad Region (Russian Federation) in the Baltic Sea is shown based on the results of modelling using Seatrack Web (SMHI, HELCOM). The most threatened areas of the coastal zone and coast, in the middle part of the Curonian Spit – UNESCO World Heritage site, as well as the distal part of the Vistula Spit and on the entire western coast of the Sambia Peninsula, were identified.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-588-591
APPLICATION OF A RANK FUZZY REGRESSION MODEL TO PREDICT THE TECHNICAL CONDITION OF WELL PIPES
Ibrahim Habibov, Oleg Dyshin, Gulnara Feyziyeva, Irada Ahmadova, Zohra Garayeva
Oil and gas pipes used in well operations are undergo to aggressive environments. In this case, corrosion wear of the thickness of their walls occurs, which leads to various difficulties. In order to assess the technical condition of well pipes, geophysical methods are used, one of which is the electromagnetic inspection method. The paper proposes a method for predicting the maximum loss of pipe thickness based on the results of electromagnetic inspection by the step values of the depth of immersion of the lower part of the pipe into the well. Based on the use of fuzzy regression with fuzzy input/fuzzy output, a method for assessing the level of impact of the main formation parameters on the technical condition of well pipes is proposed.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-592-601
GEOCHEMICAL SOUNDING OF TECTONIC FAULTS MEASUREMENT-BASED EXHALATION OF SOIL RADON
Yelizaveta Yessenzhigitova, Abdulaziz Abdullaev, Maksim Markin, Vladimir Borisov, Aset Muhamadiev
The scientific and methodological issues of geochemical sounding and localization of tectonic fault activity based on profile measurements of exhalation (volumetric activity) of soil radon (Rn 222),as well as emanation surveys on the territory of Ust-Kamenogorsk, carried out here in 2021-2023 in connection with seismic micro zoning (SMR) are outlined. It has been established that those geochemical methods of deep sounding of tectonic faults allow to reliably clarify the location and determine the activity of tectonic faults in the study area and provide new materials for seismic zoning of critical objects and determining seismic risk factors.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-602-611
INVESTIGATION OF PARTICLES EMISSIONS WHEN USING VARIOUS ELECTRODES FOR UNDERWATER WELDING
Konstantin Kirichenko,, Vladimir Chernousov, Anton Pogodaev, Alexander Gridasov, Yuri Kalinin, Igor Vakhniuk, Alexey Kholodov, Sergei Parshin, Kirill Golokhvast
The article is devoted to the study of the mass and quantitative concentration of suspended particles during underwater welding for sea water from the Ajax Bay (Sea of Japan) using two technological modes with special electrodes for welding and cutting metal. For both processes, the predominance of the PM0.3 fraction in emissions of the smallest particles compared to particles of larger fractions was revealed. The amount of suspended particles when using electrodes for metal cutting is several times higher compared to electrodes for underwater welding. The mass concentration of PM10 particles does not exceed the threshold MPC values established in the Russian Federation, Belarus and the USA.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-612-618
EXAMINATION OF THE PRESCRIPTION OF A DOCUMENT AS A WAY TO IDENTIFY MALFEASANCE
Dmitriy Mokhorov, Dmitriy Anisimov, Vladimir Kochemirovsky
The article discusses the signs of artificial and natural aging of documents under the influence of temperature and humidity changes. It is shown that the use of technologies for artificial aging of documents can create risks of concealing malfeasance, leading to economic, technological damage and health. Methods for detecting signs of artificial aging and the possibility of using physicochemical methods of analysis to detect falsification are discussed.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-619-631
Maxim Rudmin, Boris Makarov, Prokopiy Maximov, Evan Dasi
This study explores constructing and using nanocomposite fertilisers from glauconite amalgamated with a carbamide solution-gel. The ensuing nanocomposite exhibits enhanced intercalation between ammonium and glauconite, as substantiated by extensive analyses using techniques such as XRD, TEM, FTIR, TG-DSC, SEM-EDS, Brunauer–Emmett–Teller (BET) analysis, soil leaching experiments, lab and field agricultural tests.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-632-644
Pavel Menshikov, Alex Tsirdava
The article discusses the issues of using an electronic digital signature as enhanced authentication of the signature owner, as well as preserving the integrity of the document content. Particular attention is paid to the issues of differences in the types of electronic signatures (ES). ES has long been part of the usual electronic document flow, it is used in the banking sector.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-645-647
Zagir Ataev, Rashiya Bekmurzaeva
The article discusses the regional features of the natural components and landscape structure of the Makazhoy basin as a natural resource potential for the potential development of regenerative animal husbandry in the mountainous part of the Chechen Republic.
. DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-648-655
APPLICATION OF UNMANNED AERIAL VEHICLES TO OBTAIN MORPHOMETRIC CHARACTERISTICS OF LANDSLIDES
Ulzhan Aldabergen, Victor Blagoveshchensky, Sandugash Ranova, Aidana Kamalbekova
The article deals with the use of DJI Phantom 4 RTK unmanned aerial vehicle to obtain morphometric characteristics of the landslide that occurred on May 15 in Tekeli town. A 5- year-old child died as a result of the landslide. During the survey, the site was surveyed using a DJI Phantom 4 RTK quadcopter. On the basis of the obtained aerial photographs, the following were built: a 3D digital elevation model, an orthophoto of the terrain, longitudinal and transverse profiles of the landslide area and the adjacent slope using special software Agisoft Metashape Professional.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-656-662
Viktor Shchukin, Elena Khorolskaya, Nataliya Kuz'mina
The content of elements Al, As (inorganic form), Cd, Cr, Co, Cu, Fe, Hg, I, Mn, Mo, Ni, Se, Pb, Sr, V, Zn in Laminariae thalli was measured by inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Based on obtained data, the non-carcinogenic risks of the analyzed elements on human health where assessed when they enter the body together with a therapeutic dose of medicinal native products based on Laminariae thalli. It was found that the total hazard index at the 95th percentile concentrations level is 1.44. The maximum contribution to the hazard index is made attributed to iodine (HQ95%=1.37).
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-663-669
ON THE INFLUENCE OF SEISMIC INTENSITY IN A ROCK MASS IN THE DESIGN OF TRANSPORT TUNNELS
Mikhail Lebedev, Yuriy Isaev, Kirill Dorokhin, Àlexey Malovichko, Ruslan Dyagilev, Mikhail Pyatunin
The results of experiments on simultaneous recording of seismic signals from various sources on the Earth surface and at a depth of up to 250 m are stated. The peculiarities of change with depth of the spectral composition of teleseismic earthquake and microseismic oscillations have been studied, which testify in favour of a significant decrease in the level of seismic effects on underground structures in a wide range of frequencies in relation to buildings and structures on the daylight surface.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-670-677
STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF MODERN ECONOMY
Alisa Olisaeva, Marina Galazova, Leyla Baysultanova
The importance of solving the problem of food security and healthy nutrition is emphasized. In the course of scientific research, general and special methods of scientific knowledge were ap- plied: analysis, synthesis and comparison, as well as statistical data analysis and visualization.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-678-686
INFLUENCE OF THE ENVIRONMENT ON THE DEPORTED (BY THE EXAMPLE OF THE CHECHEN PEOPLE)
Sapiyat Tsutsulaeva
When Chechens were forced to abandon the land and move into unfamiliar regions, they faced changes in climate conditions, natural resources and habitats. The situation was similar for people who left them from their homeland as well as for agriculture and livestock.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-687-694
ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Magomed Suleymanov, Aminat Huazheva, Elman Akhyadov
In the course of the analysis of foreign experience, it was revealed that in countries with the largest volumes of greenhouse gas emissions, decarbonization tools are actively used, mainly emission quota systems, carbon taxes, technical standards, and bans on the sale of carbon- intensive products. A distinctive feature of the climate regulation system being developed in Russia is the desire to take into account the assimilation potential of ecosystems. It has been determined that the main problem with the use of these tools is their lack of consistency: the start of their work is scheduled for almost the same time, while their effectiveness depends on the results of each other's work.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-695-702
ANALYSIS OF THE USE OF COATED PIPES IN MARINE VESSELS
Vagif Gasanov, Elvin Ibragimli The information obtained through Arduino microcontroller is described in graphical dependencies in real-time mode of the result. When the crack is detected in the pipe, the maximum point of the recorded signal indicates on the diagram the part where the crack exists. Other- wise, the signal is described in the form of a straight line and indicates that no crack is found. The operator is able to determine any crack based on the signal recorded on the monitor. Due to the current leakage in the point of any crack the signal is transmitted to the Arduino microcontroller and, then, to the software. Based on the information received, the coordinate of the crack is found. So, since we obtain the information about the instantaneous displacement of the electrode with the encoder, we determine the coordinate of the crack according to the maximum value of the current leakage based on the diagram obtained.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-703-707
NEWEST TRENDS IN
INTERDISCIPLINARY RISK-BASED
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INFRASTRUCTURES
DOI: https://doi.org/10.24412/1932-2321-2023-575-708-727
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